Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Adam and Riley's (2013 Oscars) 85th Academy Awards Predictions


Adam: It’s that time of year again. Mysterious people band together to decide what movies are the best of the year and film lovers curse the Academy for overlooking their lesser-known darlings. That’s right, it’s Oscar season.

Since this post is already going to be a million miles long, I’ll just cut to the chase. Below we have listed each Oscar category (excluding some of the more “minor” ones to save space), the nominees, and what both Riley and myself think should win/what we want to win, as well as our predictions of what we think will win.

I would also like to mention that even though we think some should win over others, a lot of these are not clear-cut and multiple nominees deserve to win (hence why they got nominated). So if some of these win/don’t win, Riley and I won’t be sitting at home breaking stuff; try to keep your minds and conversations open, and try to look at why what wins did win. Most of the time, it’s just a change of perspective that shows why something wins an award over something else. I’ll certainly be keeping an open mind as well (despite my utter fanboy attitude for Silver Linings).

Feel free to comment below, and don’t forget to debate amongst your friends and complete strangers over what you think should take those little golden statues and a permanent place in film history. Enjoy!

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Adam and Riley’s 85th Academy Award Predictions


Best Picture:

Amour
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty


Adam:

Want to Win: Silver Linings Playbook

What a brilliant and beautiful snapshot of the world as it is now: we are all crazy, but still deserving of love. This truly redefines the romantic comedy. It is the best picture of the year, without a doubt in my mind.

Prediction of What Will Win: Lincoln

Silver Linings may be the underdog, but history has shown that the Academy wets themselves over a good historical piece, and Lincoln is about as good as historical pieces can ever get. My biggest fear is that Les Miserables will come out of nowhere and take it…but I have more faith in the Academy than that (for some reason).


Riley:

Want to Win:  Silver Linings Playbook

Prediction of What Will Win: Argo

Given the remorse the Academy must feel at this point for snubbing Affleck a Best Director nomination, and given how many various wins Argo’s been receiving at other film award ceremonies, I have a sneaking suspicion it might take home the Gold.

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Best Actor:

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Denzel Washington, Flight


Adam:

Want to Win: Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

As someone who is directly related to two people with bipolar disorder, and seeing the way it affects their lives, I can say with confidence that Bradley Cooper played a man suffering from said disorder with absolute accuracy and passion. He wasn’t comical or over the top with it, nor did he use it to get pity from the audience. He simply played a heartbroken man who just so happened to have bipolar disorder, and instead of imitating a president, he became a fictional, but all too real at the same time, person.

Prediction of Who Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

My explanation is the same as everyone else’s—it’s Daniel Day-Lewis.


Riley:

Want to Win: Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

The other nominees were very good this year, but no one came out of left field like Cooper did. As an actor who established a career as playing cocky hotshots in crude fratboy comedies (and who was once intimately fucked by Michael Ian Black in Wet Hot American Summer), it was truly a joy to watch him disappear into a heartbreaking, funny, hopeful, frustrating role as Pat in David O. Russell’s modern romantic masterpiece.

Prediction of Who Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

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Best Actress:

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts, The Impossible


Adam:

Want to Win: Emmanuelle Riva, Amour

There is no competition in my mind. Riva broke my heart. (Plus the Oscars are on her 86th birthday…give the gal something to celebrate! She deserves it!)

Prediction of Who Will Win: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

She played a two-dimensional embodiment of revenge—oh sorry, I mean a “strong female character”—in a “relevant” political movie…that’s gotta be enough to get the Academy’s blood a-pumpin’.


Riley:

Want to Win: Because I haven’t seen Amour yet, I will pick Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook). She was good. I am proud of her.

Prediction of Who Will Win: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Her characters in The Tree of Life and Mama had more life than…well…what Adam said.

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Best Supporting Actor:

Alan Arkin, Argo
Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained


Adam:

Want to Win: Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook

Prediction of Who Will Win: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln


Riley:

Want to Win:  Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook

Prediction of Who Will Win: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

My two selections are interchangeable. I think both of them are the frontrunners in this category, and I think both of them were fantastic and moving and well-rounded characters in their respected films.

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Best Supporting Actress:

Amy Adams, The Master
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook


Adam:

Want to Win: Amy Adams, The Master

Prediction of Who Will Win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables


Riley:

Want to Win: Having only seen Lincoln and Silver Linings Playbook, I think I want Amy Adams to win.

Prediction of Who Will Win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables


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Best Animated Feature Film:

Brave
Frankenweenie
ParaNorman
The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Wreck-It Ralph


Adam:

Want to Win: Brave

Prediction of What Will Win: Brave


Riley:

Want to Win: Brave

Prediction of What Will Win: Brave

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Best Foreign Language Film:

Adam: I won’t be listing all of the nominees for this category because I only saw Amour in that list (and Riley didn’t see any of them), but I simply have to mention the effect that this film had on me (and the fact that I’m pretty sure it has the Oscar in the bag). It was devastating. I have never been more aware of my mortality than when I was watching this film, which has never happened to me before, and that reason alone is enough that it should win in my book.

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Best Animated Short Film: “Paperman”


Adam: Again, here’s another category from which I only saw one nominee, but I simply must mention it. “Paperman” is one of the most beautiful pieces of animation I’ve ever seen. It reduced me to tears every single time I saw it, and to me, there is no competition for this award.

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Best Director:

Michael Haneke, Amour
Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook


Adam:

Want to Win: Michael Haneke, Amour or David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook

Prediction of Who Will Win: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln


Riley:

Want to Win: David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook

Prediction of Who Will Win: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

I think this race is between Spielberg and Ang Lee, but David O. Russell’s cinematography and altogether knack for storytelling has just been so full of character and life lately. I love my Spielberg, oh yes I do, but O. Russell injected some undeniably creative breath into Silver Linings Playbook that the dry Lincoln lacked.

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Best Original Screenplay:

Amour
Django Unchained
Flight
Moonrise Kingdom
Zero Dark Thirty


Adam:

Want to Win: Moonrise Kingdom

Prediction of What Will Win: Django Unchained


Riley:

Want to Win: Django Unchained

Prediction of What Will Win: Django Unchained

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Best Adapted Screenplay:

Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook

Adam:

Want to Win: Silver Linings Playbook

The fact that Perks of Being a Wallflower isn’t nominated for this is a crime, plain and simple. It is one of the best book-to-film adaptations ever made. There, I said my piece.

Prediction of What Will Win: Lincoln


Riley:

Want to Win: The Perks of Being a Wallflower, Stephen Chbosky

Oh wait, Chbosky wasn’t nominated. Bullshit of the highest degree. An iconic book translated beautifully into a poignant, critically and commercially successful film by the original author, and not even a little recognition. I suppose my other choice would be Silver Linings Playbook.

Prediction of What Will Win: Lincoln

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Best Original Score:

Dario Marianelli, Anna Karenina
Alexadre Desplat, Argo
Mychael Danna, Life of Pi
John Williams, Lincoln
Thomas Newman, Skyfall


Adam:

Want to Win: Thomas Newman, Skyfall

I have reservations about choosing this score because it uses so much of the classic James Bond theme, but I’d rather see it win than the other choices. I’m just bitter Howard Shore was ignored for his fantastic The Hobbit score.

Prediction of Who Will Win: John Williams, Lincoln


Riley:

Want to Win: Thomas Newman, Skyfall

Prediction of Who Will Win: Mychael Danna, Life of Pi

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Best Original Song:

“Before My Time” from Chasing Ice
“Everybody Needs a Best Friend” from Ted
“Pi’s Lullaby” from Life of Pi
“Skyfall” from Skyfall
“Suddenly” from Les Miserables


Adam:

Want to Win: “Suddenly” from Les Miserables

Prediction of What Will Win: “Skyfall” from Skyfall

I agree with what Riley says about “Big Machine” and “Skyfall” below.


Riley:

Want to Win: “Big Machine” by Ryan Miller and Mark Duplass, from Safety Not Guaranteed

Oh wait, another snub. A beautifully written pop song performed live in the film on a ZITHER (instrument) by the actor who co-wrote it….I don’t even…I guess I’d like to see Adele win for “Skyfall.” Bond themes are a piece of history, and her addition was pretty damn classy.

Prediction of What Will Win: “Suddenly” from Les Miserables

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Best Cinematography:

Anna Karenina
Django Unchained
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall


Adam:

Want to Win: Django Unchained

Prediction of What Will Win: Life of Pi


Riley:

Want to Win: Skyfall

Prediction of What Will Win: Life of Pi

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Best Film Editing:

Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty


Adam:

Want to Win: Silver Linings Playbook

Prediction of What Will Win: Argo


Riley:

Want to Win: Silver Linings Playbook

Prediction of What Will Win: Argo

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Best Visual Effects:

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life of Pi
The Avengers
Prometheus
Snow White and the Huntsman


Adam:

Want to Win: Life of Pi

Prediction of What Will Win: Life of Pi

The things this film did with 3D are nothing short of game changing. I almost picked The Hobbit, but since I didn’t get around to seeing the 48fps, I didn’t feel right about choosing it.


Riley:

Want to Win: Prometheus

Prediction of What Will Win: Life of Pi

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I hope you enjoyed reading our predictions, and I hope you were forming your own opinions as you went. Don’t forget to tune into the 85th Academy Awards on February 24th, 2013 at 7pm!

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